The third-party candidates listed represent our best approximation of who will appear on each district’s general election ballot. The candidates listed will update as each race is finalized; some listed …

The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors (fundamentals).

Nov 17, 2022 · Who’s ahead in the New Hampshire governor race? An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean. Our average includes all candidates that …

Apr 22, 2021 · An updating tally of how often every member of the House and the Senate votes with or against the president.

FiveThirtyEight

The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors (fundamentals).

The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors (fundamentals).

The candidates listed will update as each race is finalized; some listed candidates may not ultimately qualify for the general election.This analysis treats currently vacant seats as being held by the party …

Jul 8, 2019 · The FiveThirtyEight Career-Arc Regression Model Estimator with Local Optimization (CARMELO) is a system that forecasts a player's future performance.

Jan 30, 2017 · FiveThirtyEight is tracking which senators and representatives agree and disagree most with Donald Trump.