Nov 17, 2022 · Who’s ahead in the Maine governor race? An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean. Our average includes all candidates that …

Feb 25, 2025 · State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Latest forecasts and polls for the 2020 House elections by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight

The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors (fundamentals).

Polls with larger sample sizes and those conducted by higher-quality polling agencies are given more weight, as are more recent polls.

Polls with larger sample sizes and those conducted by higher-quality polling agencies are given more weight, as are more recent polls.

Oct 31, 2020 · A guide to poll closing times on Election Day 2020, major Senate and House races to watch, how long vote counting will take, and when election results are expected in all 50 states.

The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors (fundamentals). It is …

The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors (fundamentals).

Jul 8, 2019 · FiveThirtyEight’s CARMELO* identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like. More …