China’s decision to block Meta’s acquisition of Manus AI suggests increased regulatory scrutiny that could affect Meta’s ...

The execution of Mehrab Abdollahzadeh appears to suggest increased international scrutiny on Iran’s human rights practices. – ...

Market Snapshot The market for “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” is currently assessing a decreased likelihood, with ...

Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026 remains unlikely amid stalled diplomacy. Ceasefire by June 30 at 9.5% YES.

Iran's internet blackout reaches 65 days amid military tensions. Iran closes its airspace by May 8 at 14.5% YES.

UK local elections could challenge Labour's leadership. Starmer out by June 30, 2026 at 40.5% YES; out by December 31, 2026 ...

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026: currently priced at 9.5% YES, down from 10% 24 hours ago. The decrease reflects ...

DeFi's true risk-adjusted yields should be 12.5%, challenging current lending rates amid $606 million in exploits.

Iran's airspace closure likelihood rises amid escalating Israel-Iran energy conflict. Closure by May 8 at 16.5% YES, by May ...

UAE resumes full air traffic operations, indicating reduced threats. Iran closes its airspace by May 8 at 16.5% YES, by May ...

The prediction market for Spirit Airlines’ shutdown by May 31 is currently priced at 100% YES. This represents a significant ...

Saudi mediation in Lebanon stalls due to internal divisions. Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026 at 9.5% YES.