Australia raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.35%. Bank of Brazil to increase Selic rate after April 2026 at 100% ...

M.G. Siegler is the author of Spyglass, an independent technology newsletter and analysis platform. He is a regular monthly ...

Thailand approves emergency borrowing to address economic fallout from US-Israel-Iran conflict. WTI Crude Oil at $150 in May 2026 priced at 32% YES.

Market shows a decrease to 60% YES from 72% within the last day. ## Key Takeaways – Recent attack appears to suggest ...

Bitcoin ETFs see $532M inflows amid geopolitical tensions. Bitcoin below $68K on May 4 at 0.1% YES, Ethereum above $1,800 at ...

Iran reinforces its stance on the Strait of Hormuz amid US tensions. Blockade lift by May 31, 2026 at 25% YES.

Iran threatens European bases amid rising tensions. Fall of the Iranian regime by May 31 at 2.6% YES, while military action ...

Ethereum Price on May 5 market shows a 99.9% probability of resolving YES, indicating strong confidence in Ethereum ...

US destroyers crossed the Strait of Hormuz under Iranian fire, raising tensions. Blockade lifting by May 31, 2026 at 26% YES.

In the market for “Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 7?”, the current pricing is highly supportive of a YES ...

SNP is projected to win a fifth term in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election. SNP winning most seats at 68.5% YES.

The Fed’s decision on rate cuts post-June 2026 meeting is priced at 2.5% YES, while the likelihood of no Fed rate cuts in ...