Pollsters that meet at least two of the three criteria below are considered “select pollsters” by The Times, as long as they are conducting polls for nonpartisan sponsors. Has a track record of accuracy in recent elections Is a member of a professional polling organization Conducts probability-based sampling

Republicans see opportunity in Minnesota's open Senate seat as fraud scandal rocks Democratic Party. GOP optimistic about flipping blue state in 2026.

Republicans, who haven’t won a statewide race in Minnesota in two decades, see a moment to break through. But there are still many factors stacked against them.