As of Tuesday afternoon, traders on the prediction market platform Kalshi put the chance of the Fed holding firm at 97%.

Kalshi allows users to buy and sell contracts, most of which are priced between 1 cent and $1, based on how likely people ...

Trying to buy a stock at the bottom or sell at the top is known as "timing the market," and it's impossible to do ...

As Kalshi and Polymarket achieve Unicorn status, markets are betting on blockchain to make future-gazing investable.

Forecast contracts can be a low-cost way to express well-researched probability views, but without disciplined sizing, ...

Sports betting giant DraftKings is rumored to be in the process of purchasing prediction market software Railbird, but this ...

Forecast markets will run on the soon-to-launch layer-1 blockchain Autonity and newly developed Autonomous Futures Protocol (AFP).

Polymarket would create its own stablecoin to own the yield-generating USD reserves that back the amount of Circle’s ...

Prediction markets have their own agnostic efficiency and logic. The investor goal is to make money. The market-maker goal is to accurately predict outcomes without the “noise” of morality ...

Place your bets. Prediction markets like Polymarket a ‘public good,’ more accurate than polls© Cointelegraph Betting, Gambling, CFTC, Elections, US Elections 2024, Features© Cointelegraph ...

Prediction Markets Failed Their Midterm Test, Big Time Unfortunately, the 2022 midterm elections did not turn out well for any of the operational prediction markets. They got the key calls all wrong.